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A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the 60% Approval Rating

AP POLL SAMPLE SKEWS TO DEMOCRATS BY 17 POINTS

Giddy Democrats and their sock puppets in the media have been crowing about Barack Obama’s post-bin Laden 60% approval rating ever since the results of last week’s AP poll were released.

And there’s more good news from AP for the president, you say?On the economy, 52% approve of the way Obama is handling it, while only 47% disapprove? He’s up 54% – 46% on ObamaCare of all things? Seriously? The approval rating on his handling of Libya is 57%? You’re messing with us, right? And he’s only down 47% to 52% for his handling of the deficit? 

WHAT THE HELL IS GOING ON HERE?

A funny thing happened on the way to the AP Poll results; the sample was skewed by 17 points in favor of Democratic responses: 46% identified as Democrat or leaning Democrat, 29% identified as Republican or leaning Republican, 4% percent identified as independent, while 20% answered “I don’t know.” (It’s safe bet to suggest that the majority of people who don’t even know who, or what they are, vote Democrat.)

No wonder the AP results look as if they were written on Chris Matthews’ word processor.

By contrast, in a review of  roughly 40 polls conducted by Gallup since 2009, Democrats and Republicans were equally represented, with the largest split being 7%.

As one would expect, AP isn’t taking the criticism lying down:

The AP-GfK results were striking in that they found Obama with a higher approval rating than other recent polls that generally said he was in the low 50s. Polls often produce varying results because of differences in question wording and polling methodology. Also, during periods when public opinion about an issue is particularly volatile, and at times when the public is being presented with rapidly changing information, it is not uncommon to see wider variations across polls, even those conducted around the same time.

Some conservatives criticized the AP-GfK poll as heavy with responses from Democrats that skewed the results. AP-GfK polls use a consistent methodology that draws a random sample of the population independent of party identification. Such identification is not static and tends to fluctuate over time along with other political opinions. However, the change in party identification in the current AP-GfK current poll is not a statistically significant shift from the previous poll in March and could not by itself explain the poll findings.”

Bull hockey. The issue isn’t whether or not the sample changed from their April poll; the real question is whether or not the sample is an accurate representation of the American public. Call me stubborn, but I refuse to believe that there are three Democrats for every two Republicans in America.

According to a Rasmussen poll earlier this month, 34.8% of American adults consider themselves to be Republicans, 33.5% say they are Democrats, and 31.7% say they’re not affiliated with either major party.

So, did Obama’s pals at AP cook the books? Hard to say, but make no mistake folks; the Obama Media Group will do everything in its power to prop up this president, as one of the most important elections in history gets closer and closer. Stay tuned.


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Categories: Barack Obama, Liberals, News media, Politics, Progressives

3 replies

  1. Nail on the head. I love the quote “There are liars, damn liars and then there are statisticians.” Seems to apply here. I wrote an essay on the validity of polls in general here … http://wp.me/p1sqwB-8j

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